ChainCatcher report, according to CNBC, CME's "FedWatch" tool shows a 97.3% probability that the Fed will hold rates steady through March, with a 2.7% chance of a 25-basis-point cut. By April, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut is 11.5%, the probability of holding rates steady is 88.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point cut is 0.3%. By June, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut is 33.3%.
The Fed is expected to hold rates steady in March with a 97.3% probability.
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Summary
CFT measures continue to influence global financial policy, as the CME 'FedWatch' tool shows a 97.3% probability that the Fed will hold rates steady in March, with a 2.7% chance of a 25-basis-point cut. By April, the likelihood of a cut rises to 11.5%, while 88.3% still expects no change. By June, a 33.3% chance of a cut emerges. Meanwhile, MiCA is progressing in the EU, signaling regulatory shifts for crypto markets.
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