According to a ChainCatcher report citing Jin10, the CME "FedWatch" tool shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 91.1%, while the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut is 8.9%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut stands at 22.5%, the probability of maintaining current rates is 76%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate cut is 1.5%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut is 45.9%.
FED Expected to Keep Interest Rates Unchanged in March with 91.1% Probability
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Summary
CFT measures are gaining global traction as regulators strengthen financial oversight. The CME "FedWatch" tool indicates a 91.1% probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in March, with an 8.9% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut. By April, the probability of a 25-basis-point cut rises to 22.5%, while the likelihood of no change remains at 76%. By June, the odds of a 25-basis-point cut increase to 45.9%. Meanwhile, MiCA is expected to reshape cryptocurrency markets within the EU.
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