According to a ChainCatcher report citing Jin10, the CME "FedWatch" tool shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January is 95%, with a 5% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut. By March, the cumulative probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut stands at 20.7%, the probability of maintaining current rates is 78.4%, and the chance of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate cut is 0.9%.
FED Expected to Maintain Interest Rates in January with 95% Probability
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Summary
CFT measures are gaining momentum as global regulators strengthen financial supervision. According to the CME's "FedWatch" tool, the Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged in January with a 95% probability, while a 25-basis-point rate cut has a 5% chance. By March, the probability of a 25-basis-point cut rises to 20.7%. Meanwhile, MiCA is also contributing to regulatory clarity in Europe. The likelihood of a 50-basis-point cut remains low at 0.9%.
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