ETH price may fall to $1,600 as BitMine's ETH holdings face losses exceeding $10 billion

iconKuCoinFlash
Share
Share IconShare IconShare IconShare IconShare IconShare IconCopy
AI summary iconSummary

expand icon
ETH price has dropped over 57% from its October 2025 high of $4,955, with market dominance falling from 15% to 10%. BitMine, led by Tom Lee, holds 5.28 million ETH, or 4.37% of the total supply, and faces an unrealized loss of approximately $7.35 billion. ETH analysis suggests a break below key support could push the price to $1,600, increasing losses to $101 billion. Traders are increasingly labeling ETH as "Dead Money."

Odaily Planet Daily reports: As Ethereum continues to weaken, the unrealized paper loss on BitMine’s ETH reserves, led by Tom Lee, has expanded to approximately $7.35 billion. Data shows that ETH has declined more than 57% from its peak of around $4,955 in October 2025, and its market share (ETH Dominance) has dropped from approximately 15% to around 10%.

BitMine launched its ETH reserve strategy in July 2025 and has continued to accumulate ETH following a $250 million private funding round. Latest data shows it currently holds approximately 5.28 million ETH, accounting for about 4.37% of Ethereum’s total supply, making it the world’s largest publicly listed ETH reserve holder.

Despite ongoing unrealized losses, Tom Lee remains committed to a long-term accumulation strategy. BitMine has stated that it will moderately slow its pace of coin purchases but will not abandon its ETH reserve plan, and expects to hold 5% of Ethereum’s total supply by December this year.

However, technical risks continue to intensify. Analysis indicates that ETH is currently near the lower boundary of a classic bearish "rising wedge" pattern; if it effectively breaks below support, the price could decline further to the $1,600 range, representing approximately a 25% downside from current levels. If this scenario unfolds, based on BitMine’s average holding cost of around $3,513, its unrealized loss on ETH holdings could expand further to approximately $10.1 billion.

Meanwhile, market sentiment has continued to deteriorate. Chain data platform Santiment shows that the ETH social media bull-to-bear comment ratio has rapidly declined from over 2:1 at the end of April to near 1:1. Analysts note that an increasing number of traders are beginning to view ETH as “dead money” (an asset lacking upward momentum). (Cointelegraph)

Disclaimer: The information on this page may have been obtained from third parties and does not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of KuCoin. This content is provided for general informational purposes only, without any representation or warranty of any kind, nor shall it be construed as financial or investment advice. KuCoin shall not be liable for any errors or omissions, or for any outcomes resulting from the use of this information. Investments in digital assets can be risky. Please carefully evaluate the risks of a product and your risk tolerance based on your own financial circumstances. For more information, please refer to our Terms of Use and Risk Disclosure.