ETH Faces Further Downside Risk, Technical and On-Chain Indicators Point to 1665–1725 USD Range

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On-chain data shows Ethereum (ETH) is at risk of further downside. ETH has broken below the neckline of an Inverse Cup and Handle pattern, targeting around 1,665 USD. On-chain analysis reveals bearish signals, with MVRV extreme deviation pointing to a 1,725 USD level. ETH failed to retest above key EMAs, now acting as resistance. Macro factors, including reduced risk appetite and concerns over a 2026 correction, add pressure.

BlockBeats News, on February 4, according to Cointelegraph, the price of Ethereum faces further downside risks in February. The technical analysis shows that ETH has entered the breakout phase of a typical "Inverse Cup and Handle" pattern. If the pattern completes fully, the target price would be around $1,665, indicating approximately 25% downside potential from the current level.


From the chart pattern, ETH broke below the formation neckline of about $2,960 in January, then rebounded to test this level but was rejected and fell back, while also failing to reestablish above the 20-day and 50-day EMA, which have now become clear overhead resistance. Multiple technical signals are converging, reinforcing the expectation of further declines in the short term.


On-chain data is also bearish. The extreme deviation range of MVRV indicates that ETH's potential downside target is around $1,725, and it cannot be ruled out that it will further decline. Historically, ETH has multiple times only gradually formed a bottom and initiated a rebound after touching or breaking below the MVRV lower band.


On a macro level, the market's risk appetite for crypto assets has declined, with some traders concerned that a general correction similar to the previous "four-year cycle" may occur in 2026; at the same time, expectations that the "AI bubble" may burst have also prompted capital to avoid high-risk assets, intensifying downward pressure on ETH.

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