Economists Predict Two Fed Rate Cuts This Year, Express Concerns Over Walenski

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A March 13 Bloomberg survey of economists shows they now expect the first rate cut in June, not March, but still anticipate two 25-basis-point cuts by year-end. The 46 economists surveyed see a faster pace of cuts than implied by futures markets and one more cut than the Fed’s December 2024 median forecast. Nearly a third expressed concerns about Kevin Warsh, with 18% saying he would not commit to the 2% inflation target. The median year-end rate forecast remains at 3%–3.25%. Traders are advised to monitor altcoins as Fed expectations shift.

BlockBeats news, on March 13, according to a Bloomberg survey, economists have pushed back their expectation for the Fed's next rate cut from March to June, but still anticipate two 25-basis-point cuts before the end of this year.


The 46 economists surveyed expect a faster pace of rate cuts than currently priced in by futures markets and one additional cut compared to the median forecast by Fed officials in December last year. Nearly one-third of the surveyed economists expressed concern about Kevin Warsh, the chair nominee proposed by Trump.


When asked whether they believe Wash would be committed to achieving the Fed’s 2% inflation target, 13% responded that they were unsure, and 18% answered “no.” In last December’s survey, economists expected the Fed to cut rates in March and September; in the survey conducted between March 6 and 11 (after the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East), respondents anticipated rate cuts in June and October. The median forecast in the survey indicated that economists expect interest rates to be in the range of 3% to 3.25% by the end of this year. (Jin10)

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