Crypto Analyst Predicts Bear Market May Last Until Mid-2027

PANews, February 17: Cryptocurrency analyst Axel stated in a personal blog post that the current bear market cycle began at the all-time high of approximately $125,000 in October 2025. The Entity-Adjusted Liveliness indicator confirms this, reaching its cycle peak of 0.02676 in December 2025—exhibiting the typical lag behind price—and is now reversing downward. Historically, such reversals have typically initiated an accumulation phase lasting between 1.1 and 2.5 years. The chart clearly shows the two prior accumulation cycles: the 2020 bear market lasted 1.1 years, and the 2022–2024 bear market lasted 2.5 years. Both began identically, with the green line reversing from its peak and entering a sustained decline, followed by a corresponding price drop. The current pattern is structurally identical. If historical patterns repeat, this accumulation phase will last at least until the end of 2026, with a more realistic expectation extending to mid-2027. The key confirmation signal will be the 90-day moving average reversing downward and crossing below the 365-day moving average (0.02622). Until this crossover occurs, the possibility of a mid-cycle reset and subsequent price rebound remains open.