According to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of the Fed maintaining rates unchanged through June is 94.2%, with a 5.8% chance of a 25-basis-point cut. Through July, the probability of holding rates steady is 84.1%, a 25-basis-point cut is 15.3%, and a 50-basis-point cut is 0.6%.
CME: Fed to Keep Rates Unchanged in June with 94.2% Probability
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Summary
Federal Reserve news shows that CME’s “FedWatch” tool indicates a 94.2% probability the Fed will hold interest rates steady in June, with a 5.8% chance of a 25-basis-point cut. For July, the probability of no rate change is 84.1%, while a 25-basis-point cut has a 15.3% chance and a 50-basis-point cut stands at 0.6%. Interest rate developments remain critical for market participants monitoring Fed policy shifts.
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