According to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 0.5%, while the probability of holding rates steady is 99.5%. The probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points by June is 4.5%, the probability of holding rates steady is 95%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 0.5%.
CME: Fed to Keep Rates Unchanged in April with 99.5% Probability
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Federal Reserve news shows CME FedWatch data indicating a 99.5% chance the Fed will hold interest rates steady in April, with only a 0.5% probability of a 25-basis-point hike. By June, the likelihood of no rate change remains high at 95%. A 25-basis-point cut is projected at 4.5%, while a hike remains at 0.5%. Interest rate developments continue to shape market expectations.
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