According to a ChainCatcher report citing Jin Ten News, a CITIC Securities research report indicated that the seasonally adjusted U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 50,000 in December 2025, below the expected 65,000. The employment growth in December was still weak, mainly concentrated in healthcare, education, and leisure and hospitality sectors. Overall, the December U.S. employment data suggests that the labor market remains relatively weak, and the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by around 50 basis points in 2026.
CITIC Securities Forecasts a Fed Rate Cut of Approximately 50 Basis Points in 2026
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Summary
CITIC Securities forecasts a Federal Reserve rate cut of approximately 50 basis points in 2026, citing weak December 2025 nonfarm payrolls data. The U.S. added 50,000 jobs, below the estimated 65,000, with gains in healthcare, education, and leisure sectors. The report aligns with broader regulatory shifts, including the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework, which could reshape cryptocurrency markets. As global financial policies continue to evolve, CFT (Counterparty Credit Risk) measures also remain a key focus for compliance and market stability.
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