Cathie Wood Warns of High Probability of Gold Price Decline, Suggests Bubble in Gold Market

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Cathie Wood warned on X that a sharp decline in gold prices is likely, citing a record high ratio of gold to U.S. M2 money supply. She compared the current level to the 1980 peak and the 1934 Great Depression. Wood noted that the U.S. economy is now different from past crises, with interest rates falling from 5% to 4.2%. She called the gold market a bubble, not AI, and suggested that a stronger dollar could trigger a 60% decline, as seen in the 1980s. Traders are advised to monitor altcoins as interest rates shift.

Odaily Planet Daily News: Prominent investor Cathie Wood posted on the X platform stating that the likelihood of a decline in gold prices is high. During today's trading session, the ratio of gold market value to U.S. money supply (M2) reached a historical high, surpassing the peak recorded in 1980, a period when inflation and interest rates had risen to around double digits. More astonishingly, the gold-to-M2 ratio has reached the highest level ever recorded during the Great Depression in 1934. During that crisis, on January 31, 1934, the U.S. dollar depreciated against gold by nearly 70%, the government banned private ownership of gold, and M2 collapsed. Today's U.S. economy is vastly different from the periods of double-digit inflation in the 1970s or the deflationary depression of the 1930s. Indeed, foreign central banks have been reducing their reliance on the U.S. dollar for years; however, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield peaked at 5% at the end of 2023 and has since dropped to 4.2%.

Finally, she stated, "Although parabolic surges often push asset prices to heights most investors never anticipate, such astonishing rallies typically occur toward the end of a cycle. We believe the current bubble is not in artificial intelligence, but rather in gold. A stronger U.S. dollar could burst this bubble, as it did from 1980 to 2000, when gold prices fell by more than 60%."

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