BTC's Lunar New Year Rally: Will the 10-Year Trend Continue in 2026?

PANews

Release Time: 02/12/2026 09:31:44

BTC

$67,446.700.63%

Summary

Since 2015, Bitcoin has exhibited a bullish trend during the Lunar New Year, with annual gains ranging from 0.8% to 19.5%. However, in 2025, a bearish trend emerged as BTC fell 4.8% to $71,200. With the 2026 Lunar New Year approaching and BTC trading at $67,000, traders are closely monitoring whether the bullish pattern will resume or if the bearish trend will persist.

Reviewing past Spring Festival market trends, Bitcoin has almost always risen during the holiday—recording positive returns for 10 consecutive years from 2015 to 2024, with gains ranging from 0.8% to 19.5%.

The only exception occurred in 2025: during the Spring Festival, Bitcoin dropped from $74,800 to $71,200, a decline of −4.8%, breaking the decade-long upward trend for the first time.

The 2026 Chinese New Year market window is now open, with Bitcoin trading around $67,000:

Will this year continue the trend of "rising every Chinese New Year for the past decade"?

Are we still copying the 2025 decline pattern?

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