BofA Survey: Geopolitical Risks Replace AI Bubble as Top Tail Risk

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BofA’s March Fund Manager Survey shows geopolitical risks now surpass the AI bubble as the top concern. Risk appetite has weakened as cash holdings rise at the fastest pace since March 2020. The Middle East conflict and surging oil prices are reshaping market sentiment. Only 17% of managers now expect a Fed rate cut, down from 46% in February. Top altcoins remain under pressure amid growing inflation concerns.

Odaily Planet Daily reports: The war in Iran is reshaping the global investment landscape and forcing markets to significantly reassess the global economic outlook. According to Bank of America’s March global fund manager survey released on Tuesday, amid rapidly changing market conditions, investor optimism is fading, and investors are beginning to hoard cash at the fastest pace since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020. With the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East and the resulting surge in oil prices, the “biggest tail risk” perceived by fund managers has shifted—geopolitical crises and a resurgence in inflation have officially replaced the previous concern of an “AI bubble.” Rising inflation expectations have ruthlessly undermined market expectations for rate cuts; currently, only a net 17% of asset managers expect the Federal Reserve to lower policy rates, down from 46% in February. (Bloomberg)

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