In accordance with Chaincatcher, Anthony Pompliano told CNBC that Bitcoin's lack of a year-end price surge could act as a catalyst to prevent a major crash in the first quarter of 2026. He noted that with Bitcoin's volatility significantly compressed, the likelihood of a 70% or 80% drawdown is extremely low. Pompliano added that while Bitcoin has not reached the $250,000 target some investors expected, it has still risen 100% over two years and nearly 300% over three years, showing strong performance in financial markets. He also pointed out that reduced volatility, while disappointing for those focused on upside potential, provides downside safety and lowers the probability of large drawdowns. Currently, Bitcoin trades at $87,436, down 7.39% from the start of the year. Peter Brandt predicts Bitcoin could fall to $60,000 in Q3 2026, while Fidelity's Jurrien Timmer expects it to drop to $65,000 in 2026.
Bitcoin's Lack of Year-End Surge Seen as Catalyst to Avoid Q1 2026 Crash
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Summary
Bitcoin news highlights Anthony Pompliano’s latest Bitcoin analysis, where he told CNBC that Bitcoin’s lack of a year-end price surge could help avoid a major crash in Q1 2026. He noted Bitcoin’s volatility has dropped, making a 70% or 80% drawdown unlikely. Despite missing the $250,000 target, Bitcoin has gained 100% in two years and 300% in three. Pompliano said lower volatility offers downside safety. Bitcoin currently trades at $87,436, down 7.39% from the start of the year. Peter Brandt sees a possible drop to $60,000 in Q3 2026, while Fidelity’s Jurrien Timmer forecasts $65,000 in 2026.
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