Bitcoin Near $60K May Signal Midpoint of Bear Market, Kaiko Research Says

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Bitcoin analysis from Kaiko Research suggests Bitcoin news at $59,930 in early February may mark the midpoint of the bear market. The price has moved past the post-halving peak and is entering a typical 12-month bear phase. Exchange spot volume dropped from $1 trillion to $700 billion, a 30% decline. Bitcoin and Ethereum futures open interest fell to $25 billion, showing ongoing deleveraging. On-chain data and crypto performance indicate the market is near key support levels. With oversold indicators in place, a Bitcoin rebound is more a matter of timing than uncertainty.

Odaily Planet News: Kaiko Research analysis points out that Bitcoin fell to about $59,930 at the beginning of this month, reaching a new low since October 2024, which may mark the "midpoint" of the current bear market. The market has now moved away from the post-halving frenzy phase and entered a bear market period that typically lasts about 12 months, paving the way for the next accumulation phase. The spot trading volume on major centralized exchanges dropped from about $1 trillion in October 2025 to $700 billion in November, a decline of about 30%. The total open interest of Bitcoin and Ethereum futures also fell from $29 billion to $25 billion, indicating continued de-leveraging in the market. On-chain metrics and the performance of major cryptocurrencies show that the market is approaching key technical support levels, which will determine whether the four-year cycle framework remains intact. With multi-cycle oversold indicators emerging, the question for Bitcoin's rebound is more about "when" it will happen rather than "if" it will happen. (Cointelegraph)

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