Bitcoin MVRV Percentile Drops to 5%, Historically Associated with Long-Term Bottoms

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Bitcoin news: On July 21, 2026, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost reported that Bitcoin’s MVRV percentile has fallen to 5%, entering historically undervalued territory. This decline, which began in June, indicates that 95% of historical periods had higher MVRV levels—often signaling long-term market bottoms. Traders are also monitoring altcoins as market dynamics shift.

BlockBeats news, on July 21, according to a post by CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, after Bitcoin fell below $60,000 in February and entered the surrender zone, the MVRV percentile dropped below 10%, reaching a historically defined undervalued region. Since June, this indicator has shown a similar pattern again.


Unlike the traditional MVRV indicator, the MVRV percentile measures the current MVRV relative to its historical cycles, incorporating a historical probability dimension to better reflect the current market environment.


The current BTC MVRV percentile is approximately 5%, meaning that Bitcoin has been at a higher MVRV level for about 95% of its history. This suggests that BTC is significantly undervalued compared to its historical evolution, and similar phases have often coincided with long-term market bottoms.

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