Bitcoin May Enter Final Accumulation Phase, with Potential Decline Exceeding 40%

Huo Xing Finance reports that on April 2, analyst Alicharts noted that Bitcoin has declined 52% from its October 2025 peak, with a 3-day SMA crossover signal (50-period and 200-period SMA bearish cross) appearing on February 27 and persisting for 30 days. Historical patterns suggest the market may enter the final accumulation window within the next 3 to 6 days. Alicharts points out that historically, since 2014, every major cycle has seen the 50- and 200-SMA crossover mark the absolute bottom and a golden buying opportunity. Past cycles show that 23 to 33 days after the crossover, a final decline of 40–52% occurs, completing the bear market washout. The potential washout target for this cycle is between $30,000 and $40,000, after which the next bull market is expected to begin.