Bitcoin ETF outflows remain moderate despite a 46% price decline, with neutral and hedging positions dominating.

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Bitcoin’s price declined 46% from its peak, yet Bitcoin ETFs recorded only $8.5 billion in net outflows, according to 10x Research. ETF ownership remains dominated by market makers and arbitrage-focused hedge funds, which prefer hedging strategies and market-neutral positions over directional bets. Long-term institutional investors also hold substantial stakes with low turnover. Q4 2025 13F filings reveal that 55–75% of BlackRock’s IBIT ETF assets remain with these groups. During Bitcoin’s consolidation near $88,000 in Q4 2025, market makers reduced their exposure by $1.6–2.4 billion.

BlockBeats report: On February 18, the crypto research firm 10x Research noted that, despite Bitcoin’s price falling 46% from its peak, Bitcoin ETFs recorded only $8.5 billion in net outflows—a relatively modest reduction relative to the total assets under management. The structural characteristics of ETF ownership reveal that market makers and arbitrage-focused hedge funds dominate, holding positions that are largely hedged or market-neutral rather than directional bets on Bitcoin. Additionally, long-term institutional investors hold a significant portion of the positions, characterized by low turnover and longer investment horizons.


Based on the latest 13F filings for the fourth quarter of 2025, an estimated 55–75% of BlackRock’s IBIT’s $61 billion in assets remains held by market makers and arbitrage-focused hedge funds. During the fourth quarter of 2025, as Bitcoin prices consolidated around $88,000, market makers reduced their exposure by approximately $1.6–2.4 billion, reflecting declining speculative demand and reduced arbitrage activity.

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