Bitcoin Enters New ETF-Driven 2-Year Cycle Amid Institutional Shift

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Citing 528btc, Bitcoin is undergoing a structural shift as institutional adoption and ETF-driven capital flows reshape its traditional four-year halving cycle. The approval of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024 has transitioned Bitcoin’s valuation framework from on-chain scarcity to off-chain liquidity dynamics, forming a new two-year cycle tied to macroeconomic factors and institutional inflows. This shift is redefining Bitcoin’s price behavior, volatility, and market structure.

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