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Bitcoin AHR999 Metric Drops Below 0.45 After 839 Days

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Bitcoin analysis on February 1, 2026, showed that the Bitcoin ahr999 accumulation metric fell below 0.45 for the first time in 839 days since October 16, 2023. Sea Bitcoin, a cryptocurrency key opinion leader (KOL), highlighted this decline. The ahr999 metric is calculated as (current Bitcoin price / 200-day dollar-cost average) × (current Bitcoin price / exponential growth valuation). Ongoing Bitcoin news continues to emphasize key on-chain indicators as barometers of market sentiment.

BlockBeats news: On February 1, crypto KOL Sea Bitcoin shared that for the first time in 839 days since October 16, 2023, the Bitcoin ahr999 coin-hoarding indicator has dropped below 0.45 (the bottom line for buying the dip).


BlockBeats Note: ahr999 = (Current Bitcoin Price / 200-day DCA Cost) × (Current Bitcoin Price / Exponential Growth Valuation)


200-day average cost: The average cost of buying Bitcoin with equal amounts each day over the past 200 days (reflecting the short-term dollar-cost averaging return)

Exponential Growth Valuation: Based on an exponential fitting curve of Bitcoin's historical price versus block height (or time) (logarithmic growth model), it represents the long-term "reasonable value" or expected valuation.


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