Bernstein Reaffirms $67 Price Target for Figure, Sees 72% Upside

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Bernstein maintains a $67 price target for Figure, implying a 72% upside from the current price of $38.97. The company’s Q1 2026 results reported loan originations of $2.9 billion, up 113% year-over-year, and adjusted revenue of $167 million, 6% above estimates. Yield-bearing tokens (YLDS) reached $598 million, while stock lending balances hit $368 million. Price analysis indicates strong momentum for the tokenized ecosystem.

Odaily Planet Daily reports that Bernstein reaffirmed its "Outperform" rating on Figure Technology Solutions (FIGR) and maintained its price target of $67, implying approximately a 72% upside from the current stock price of $38.97.

Q1 2026 performance was strong: loan origination reached $2.9 billion, up 113% year-over-year; adjusted revenue was $167 million, up 92% year-over-year and 6% above market expectations; adjusted EBITDA was $82.7 million, with a margin of approximately 50%, slightly above market expectations. However, GAAP diluted EPS was $0.18, about 9% below expectations, primarily due to a $26 million stock-based compensation expense.

Bernstein Analysis believes this earnings report should reshape the market’s perception of Figure—not as a traditional credit company, but as a “tokenization-driven capital markets platform,” with core profits derived from network fees and operational scale leverage, while maintaining a valuation multiple of 25x EBITDA for 2027. Additionally, the tokenization ecosystem continues to expand: the yield-bearing security token YLDS has reached a size of $598 million (up 80%环比); stock lending product balances stand at $368 million (up 79%); and small business lending generated $60 million in revenue.

The current stock price is still not far from the $36 IPO offering price in 2025, but it remains significantly below the all-time high of $78. (The Block)

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