Analyst Warns Bitcoin Could Fall to $53,000 Amid Capital Outflows and Macroeconomic Risks

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Analyst Samer Hasn warns that Bitcoin could drop to $53,000 due to ETF outflows and macroeconomic risks. Concerns over tariffs and reduced liquidity are driving funds out of crypto. On-chain data shows U.S. spot ETFs have reduced their BTC holdings by 100,000 since October 2025. Active addresses and realized capital are declining, while unrealized losses prevail. The Fear & Greed Index reflects growing pessimism as market confidence weakens.

Odaily Planet Daily report: Amid sustained capital outflows and overlapping macro risks, the crypto market may experience a sharper decline, according to analyst Samer Hasn. Bitcoin has concluded its previous consolidation phase and entered a new downward cycle. Uncertainty surrounding tariffs and tightening liquidity have formed a "toxic combination," accelerating capital flight from the crypto market. If selling pressure persists, Bitcoin could face a "severe sell-off," with prices potentially dropping to the $53,000–$55,000 range. Additionally, on-chain data shows that U.S. spot ETFs have reduced their holdings by approximately 100,000 BTC since the cycle high in October last year, reflecting an institutional risk-reduction trend. The number of active addresses has fallen below its normal range, realized capital continues to contract, and unrealized losses dominate, indicating weakening market confidence and participation. (The Block)

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