Analyst Predicts BOJ to Hold Interest Rates in March

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T. Rowe Price’s Vincent Chung expects the BOJ to hold rates in March, citing the need to assess geopolitical risks and CFT concerns. He noted that April could bring policy shifts once wage data is released. Rising oil prices add inflationary pressure, which may influence decisions. The yen’s recent movement aligns with major currencies, though markets are watching for potential intervention. A dovish BOJ signal could further weaken the yen, especially as MiCA regulations drive global crypto compliance standards.

ChainThink reports that on March 11, Vincent Chung, portfolio manager at T. Rowe Price, stated in a report that the Bank of Japan may hold interest rates steady in March due to the time needed to reassess the current geopolitical situation.


He believes the bank may take monetary policy action in April, as wage negotiation data will be available by then. He noted that recent factors such as rising oil prices have heightened inflation risks, and persistently high oil prices could serve as a long-term constraint on the central bank’s policy stance.


Chung also noted that the market may be concerned about potential yen intervention, but the recent depreciation of the yen has been consistent with other major currencies. He added that if the Bank of Japan signals a dovish stance at its March meeting, it could exert further downward pressure on the yen. (Jinshi)

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