Odaily Planet Daily report: Cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez posted a detailed analysis on X, suggesting that instead of debating whether Bitcoin has hit its bottom, attention should be focused on whether the current volatility represents a "generational entry opportunity." Based on long-term trend lines, on-chain liquidity, and cost distribution metrics, he has defined the core "value range" for this cycle.
On the support side, the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) shows a significant concentration of筹码 in the range of approximately $63,111 to $70,685, forming the primary support zone; if the price falls below $63,111, the market may enter a liquidity vacuum.
From a long-term perspective, Bitcoin is approaching the key upward trendline from the past decade (approximately $56,000–$60,000), a level that historically has often coincided with accumulation phases preceding major upward moves.
In more extreme scenarios, the CVDD indicator corresponds to approximately $47,960, regarded as a structural bottom zone; the MVRV 0.8 range at approximately $43,647 signifies the market entering a "deep distress" phase, typically accompanied by exhausted selling pressure. In the event of a black swan event, the price may briefly dip to the extreme level of approximately $36,657.
Based on the aforementioned range, Ali employs a dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy, gradually increasing positions across different support levels to lower overall entry costs, and believes the market is currently in a phase of low sentiment but with emerging potential opportunities.