Another risk of using prediction platforms, especially smaller ones, is the inability to close your position. Once liquidity on the platform drops, you simply cannot exit your position unless you’re willing to accept a spread of over 10% to get filled—often by bots. Alternatively, you could open a hedge position on PM, tying up double the capital and waiting months, particularly for events like sports matches. Otherwise, you have no choice but to wait for settlement. For example, I previously held a position worth nearly $300,000 on Opinion, and now I’m unable to close it at all—I can only wait for settlement. My strategy is to reduce exposure by closing over 50% of my position when odds reach 90, because it’s common for odds to drop from 90 to 70—especially with Arsenal. When it comes to underperforming, Arsenal has never let us down. I’m truly at my wit’s end—can Arsenal possibly beat Manchester City tomorrow??? What’s going on with Naza lately???

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