According to on-chain analyst Ember (@EmberCN), current market trading enthusiasm has fallen below the levels seen at the bottom of the previous bear market in December 2022, as reflected in the following: On-chain trading volume comparison: • BTC/USDT daily trading volume has declined from approximately $2 billion at the previous bottom to around $500 million today; the current price is 4.5 times higher than the previous bottom, and this cycle has retraced -38% from its peak. If following the previous cycle’s -75% retracement, the bottom of this cycle may be near $31,000. • ETH/USDT daily trading volume has dropped from approximately $400 million to around $200 million; the current price is 1.7 times higher than the previous bottom, and this cycle has retraced -54% from its peak. If following the previous cycle’s magnitude, the bottom of this cycle may be around $1,150. • BNB/USDT daily trading volume remains flat compared to the previous bottom, at approximately $50 million; the current price is 2.7 times higher than the previous bottom, and this cycle has retraced -50% from its peak. If following the previous cycle’s -65% retracement, the bottom of this cycle may be around $450.
Chain Analyst Notes Current Crypto Trading Activity Far Below Previous Bear Market Bottom
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Chain analyst EmberCN noted that current crypto trading activity has fallen well below the levels recorded at the previous bear market bottom in December 2022. BTC/USDT trading volume has dropped to $5 billion from around $20 billion, while ETH/USDT trading volume has fallen to $2 billion from $4 billion. BNB/USDT remains steady at approximately $50 million. Despite this, BTC, ETH, and BNB prices are 4.5x, 1.7x, and 2.7x higher than their respective prior cycle lows.
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