According to CoinTelegraph, TRM Labs reported that the predicted market trading volume reached $36.6 billion in the first quarter of 2026, surpassing on-chain gambling's $14 billion for the first time. On-chain gambling recorded a total trading volume of $51 billion for the full year of 2025, with a quarterly high of $15 billion in the fourth quarter of 2025. During the cryptocurrency market correction, trading volumes in both sectors showed no significant decline. High-volume players, accounting for 0.063% of individual wallets, contributed 91.8% of the trading volume. The monthly trading volume of average bettors increased from $17 million in January 2022 to $188 million in March 2026, while daily gamblers' trading volume grew twelvefold over the same period. TRM Labs warned that gambling platforms face money laundering risks, while predicted markets are under scrutiny for insider trading.
TRM Labs Report: Predictive Markets to Reach $36.6 Billion in Q1 2026
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Summary
On-chain data from TRM Labs indicates that predictive markets are projected to reach $36.6 billion in Q1 2026, surpassing on-chain gambling. On-chain gambling generated $51 billion in 2025, with a quarterly peak of $15 billion in Q4. Despite a recent crypto market downturn, both sectors remained stable. High-net-worth participants, representing just 0.063% of wallets, accounted for 0.918% of total volume. Monthly betting volume from regular users increased from $17 million in January 2022 to $18.8 million in March 2026, while daily gamblers saw a 12-fold rise in activity. TRM Labs has flagged money laundering risks associated with gambling platforms and insider trading concerns within predictive markets.
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