BlockBeats news, on June 11, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this year is 69%, with a 43.4% chance of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points, a 21.2% chance of a cumulative hike of 50 basis points, a 4.1% chance of a cumulative hike of 75 basis points, and a 0.3% chance of a cumulative hike of 100 basis points.
CME FedWatch: 69% Probability of a Fed Rate Hike in 2026
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Summary
CME FedWatch indicates a 69% probability of a Fed rate hike in 2026 as of June 11, with a 43.4% chance of a 25-basis-point increase. The CFT framework remains a key regulatory focus globally. The probabilities for 50, 75, and 100 basis-point hikes are 21.2%, 4.1%, and 0.3%, respectively. With MiCA nearing finalization, crypto markets are preparing for new compliance standards.
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