Phố Wall nhận định khả năng Fed tăng lãi suất trong tháng Chín là 58,4% amid dữ liệu việc làm mạnh mẽ

The Huoxing Finance report states that on September 7, following the strong U.S. August employment data, Wall Street's expectations for a Fed rate hike in September have intensified. CME FedWatch data shows that the market currently assigns a 58.4% probability to the Fed raising rates by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75%-4% at the September FOMC meeting. Data indicates that non-farm payrolls in the U.S. increased by 162,000 in August, with the unemployment rate remaining at 4.1%; meanwhile, U.S. inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target, and market concerns persist that supply shocks such as the Middle East situation, rising oil prices, and tariffs could continue to push inflation higher. Institutions including Macquarie, Bank of America, and UBS have all raised their expectations for further rate hikes. On the other hand, the Trump administration continues to pressure the Fed to cut rates. Trump recently stated that the Fed should lower interest rates, arguing that high rates are putting the U.S. at a disadvantage; Vice President Vance also stated that lowering rates would help improve U.S. housing affordability. As the market shifts toward betting on rate hikes, the Fed under Powell is facing dual pressure from the White House and market expectations.