Chuyên gia CryptoQuant dự đoán BTC sẽ duy trì trong phạm vi 57.700–67.000 USD vào tháng Tám

The Huoxing Finance report states that on August 5, CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. released a market outlook for Bitcoin in August, noting that BTC has retraced approximately 50% from its cycle high of $126,200 set in October 2025 and is now approaching the on-chain composite cost basis, with a likely range-bound movement expected in August. The report suggests that the most probable scenario (approximately 55% probability) is BTC trading between $57,700 and $67,000, potentially closing the month between $60,000 and $64,000. The bearish scenario (30% probability) involves a breakdown below $57,700, with further testing of the on-chain realized price around $52,800; the bullish scenario (15% probability) requires BTC to hold above $67,000, accompanied by sustained ETF inflows, declining U.S. Treasury yields, and a weaker dollar, targeting $71,000 to $74,000. Current valuations near the on-chain cost zone, along with continued net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, provide market support; however, the high-interest-rate environment, elevated U.S. Treasury yields, and a relatively strong dollar continue to limit upside potential for risk assets. The report also urges attention to macroeconomic events in August—such as the U.S. non-farm payrolls, CPI data, and the Jackson Hole central bank symposium—for their potential impact on market liquidity.