BIT Chính thức: Bitcoin gần đáy chu kỳ giữa lo ngại về việc Fed tăng lãi suất và sự trì hoãn của dự luật CLARITY

The Huoxing Finance report states that, according to BIT Official’s weekly report, trading volume in the crypto market has dropped 80% from its peak and contracted by approximately 60% from the Q4 2025 high; the total market capitalization of the crypto market has also declined by 50%. The report notes that if trading volume fails to recover effectively, the market will struggle to sustain a rebound. Although the market is still digesting two negative factors—the Fed’s hawkish policy stance and the stalled progress of the CLARITY bill—Bitcoin remains within the $62,000 to $66,000 range. BIT Official expects Bitcoin will ultimately break upward. The report highlights that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has recently adopted a “say less, do less” communication strategy, and the uncertainty surrounding his policy stance is unsettling the market. Warsh has been known for his hawkish stance over the past two decades, but markets previously anticipated that, with Trump’s support, he might shift toward a more dovish monetary policy; if this shift materializes, it could be bullish for Bitcoin. Additionally, prediction market data shows that the probability of the CLARITY bill being signed into law by the end of 2026 is currently only 32%. Senate Majority Leader John Thune stated that the Senate will prioritize other issues, and as the August recess approaches, the legislative window for this bill continues to narrow.