CRITICAL MOMENT in Bitcoin. On the weekly chart, the weekly MA20 has just crossed below the MA50. This same crossover occurred in 2022, just before the last corrective phase in Bitcoin. Following this signal, BTC recorded nine consecutive weekly red candles, reaching the bear market low at $15K.

If Bitcoin finishes the month in the red, it will mark the first time it has closed both January and February with losses. #Bitcoin #CryptoMarkets

🔽 #BITCOIN ON TRACK FOR ITS LONGEST LOSING STREAK IN 7 YEARS The selling just isn’t stopping. February is already down -13%. If it closes red, Bitcoin will print 5 straight monthly losses — the LONGEST streak since 2018. Total drawdown already sits near -40% in ~5 months. Do you hold or buy more? $BTC

Bitcoin has closed in the red for four consecutive months (October, November, December 2025, and January 2026). If February closes red, it will indeed be the first 5-month losing streak since the 2018 bear market. The drawdown started after Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $126k on October 6, 2025. At today’s price, we are down roughly 54% from the peak. ​The selling accelerated on February 5, 2026, when BTC saw a historic 14% single-day drop (from $73k to $60k), triggering over $2 billion in liquidations.

Bitcoin spent ~270 days below the 200W MA before reclaiming it. Then another ~220 days of sideways chop before the real breakout. Nearly 500 days of testing one key level. Now price is pulling back toward the 200W MA again. If history repeats, this zone is not the end - it’s where the next phase quietly builds.

Today is Chinese New Year’s Eve—Wishing everyone a Happy New Year’s Eve 🎉 and a prosperous Year of the Horse 💰 #BTC Weekly Report‼️ (Week 3 of February) 【Weekly Chart】 1) Last week’s main outlook was consolidation, resulting in a small candlestick; the entire range of consolidation was only $6,000. This sideways pattern will likely continue over the coming weeks—favoring long positions on dips. 【Daily Chart】 1) The low of $58,900 is a short-term bottom, not a bear market low. 2) The decline from $97,900 has ended, with the bottom at $58,900; key resistance levels for the rebound are $74,300 and $78,800. 3) If the rebound exceeds $77,100, the rebound range will expand, with next resistance levels at $85,000 and $92,700. These daily chart observations are expected to hold for at least 1–2 months—please mark them on your charts‼️ 【4-Hour Chart】 The 4-hour support level identified last week has been confirmed; the bullish OB rebound gained $5,000. Today’s intraday support is at $67,200—if this level holds, the rebound is likely to continue, targeting a breakout above $72,000.

$BTC $BTC 2.16 Bitcoin Market Analysis: Bitcoin completed its W wave decline from the high of $126,000 to around $80,000, followed by an X wave consolidation, and is now in the midst of a Y wave correction. The drop from $98,000 to $60,000 is defined as wave Ya; we are currently within the B wave of the Y wave structure, known as YB wave. The key point is that this YB wave correction may not yet be complete. When zooming in on the YB wave structure, the rebound near $60,000 was previously interpreted as wave a or wave w, with the expectation that it would be followed by a c wave rally. However, the latest analysis reveals a clear downward trend structure on the 15-minute chart, indicating that the current pullback is not a healthy correction but rather part of a broader downtrend—likely evolving into either wave a or wave e of a larger decline. Given the breakdown in smaller-timeframe trends and Ethereum’s extreme weakness, Bitcoin’s YB wave may continue to decline, potentially breaking below the prior low to complete the entire consolidation pattern. Therefore, the original plan to buy on pullbacks must be revised. Until the YB wave structure is confirmed complete, adopt a trend-following short bias with tight stop-losses, waiting for a breakdown of key support levels below. Ethereum is significantly weaker than Bitcoin, having retraced over 70% of its prior rally. If Bitcoin continues lower, Ethereum’s key support levels are highly vulnerable to breakdown. Its broader structure is also within a Y wave YB wave consolidation, and last night’s sharp decline suggests its correction may be more complex—raising concerns about correlated downside risk. The overall market remains in a major corrective wave phase with intense bullish-bearish conflict. During the Chinese New Year holiday, we recommend reducing leverage, trading cautiously, strictly setting stop-losses, and preparing for heightened market volatility.