It’s honestly insane to me that nearly every other onchain sportsbook has pivoted into prediction-market UX. I refuse to believe the average sports bettor prefers seeing odds as “25 cents” instead of a 4.00x decimal multiplier, +300, or any format they already understand. With SportsAMM, what you see is what you get. You don’t have to worry about whether your order gets filled, how much gets filled, or at what final price. If the UI quotes you 4.00x, you get 4.00x. That’s it. And beyond UX, SportsAMM offers products that onchain prediction markets are nowhere near implementing efficiently anytime soon: • Parlays • In-bet parlays • Same game parlays • System bets • Live markets • Player props • And more Then add the resolution issues, slow grading, and weird edge-case rules around niche markets like player props, and prediction markets become almost unusable for me as a sports bettor. Narratives will always shift back and forth. But we believe Overtime offers the best onchain sports betting UX, bar none.

📉 POLYMARKET SKEPTICAL AS STRATEGY SELLS BITCOIN IN MAY, BULLISH FOR JUNE 🟠 Polymarket's latest stance reflects a cautious approach, signaling "No" for May's price predictions after Strategy's recent Bitcoin sale 📉. The sale may point to underlying market hesitance, especially as analysts debate the implications of selling in a bearish environment. However, optimism grows for June as traders anticipate a potential shift in sentiment and market behavior 🌐. 📰 Source: CoinDesk Is this cautious sentiment just a temporary blip, or are we witnessing a shift in institutional confidence? 👇

Introducing: Jupiter Forecast for MMs, Solana’s first fully native prediction market. For users, Forecast is built into @jup_predict, but provides an additional liquidity model that can deliver better prices and better execution. Instead of trading against a single pool of liquidity, users will be able to buy from multiple competing market makers. Any Prop AMM can start quoting into markets they are interested in, and users will automatically be able to buy from whichever market maker offers the best price. To be clear - we’ll continue working very closely with Polymarket and supporting their markets. Forecast simply offers an additional type of market liquidity that users can take advantage of. But this isn’t just better for users, it’s better for Solana as a whole. With Forecast, markets will each have their own native tokens. Integration for partners becomes seamless and composability increases across the entire ecosystem. PropAMMs changed spot trading on @solana. Now, we’re going to see if they can have the same impact on Prediction Markets. We’ll be starting with 15 minute crypto markets and expanding from there - if you’re a market maker who wants to get involved, reach out!

Once UMA voters have a conflict of interest with Polymarket positions, the oracle completely loses its credibility. In the future, oracle governance capability will become one of the most critical competitive factors in prediction markets.

$POLY is in a weird spot. The token NEEDS to come for governance reasons and to get rid of UMA but it seems the team may want to ride it as long as possible. There is a 25% chance of launching before September 30. Looks like a very low likelihood that we receive it before/during the World Cup like many have speculated. At that point, we will be well past Summer and the hype will have tampered off while the anger around UMA continues to grow. @Polymarket has such a perfect window AND necessity for $POLY as soon as possibly. We'll see if they actually act on this in a timely manner. Other predictive markets have odds as though Polymarket will be OpenSea'ing us.

📉 Polymarket Refuses May Payout, Approves June Contract After Strategy's Bitcoin Sale Polymarket ruled that Strategy's June 1 disclosure of a bitcoin sale during the final week of May does not trigger the May contract. UMA voters determined the disclosure counts for the June contract, resulting in a "No" for May and a "Yes" for June, per Coindesk data.

The hardest problem in prediction markets isn't liquidity or UI — it's resolution. Who determines the truth, and what happens when they're wrong. That question shaped how we built MidasPredict on LitVM. The thinking behind it comes from our core dev, @tonyz_defi. Start with his thread on why no one actually removes the oracle — they just relocate the trust:

⚡POLYMARKET MARKET RESOLUTION :: Polymarket's UMA oracle vote has upheld a controversial "No" resolution regarding Strategy's recent Bitcoin sale, sparking backlash from traders who pointed to the firm's SEC filing as proof of a sale before the May 31 deadline. #Polymarket #Bitcoin #CryptoMarkets $UMA

What I like about @ForesoGlobal is that it transforms market predictions into something interactive and measurable. Instead of just discussing where prices might go, participants can put their analysis to the test and see how they perform against the broader community. With only 24 hours left, it's interesting to watch conviction, strategy, and market sentiment collide in real time. Looking forward to seeing who climbs the leaderboard and finishes strong. 👇