avatar
Richard Fetyko

Following0Followers (X)1.18KPosts28Likes85
avatar

Hot CPI weighs on crypto US inflation came in at 3.7% in September, above forecasts. Core inflation rose to 2.6%, and higher gasoline prices caused about half of the increase. The Fed already raised rates in September, its first hike since 2023, and officials signalled another one could come by year-end. A hotter core reading keeps that risk on the table. Higher rates for longer put pressure on risk assets, and crypto usually reacts first. Short term this is bearish, but the bigger picture is still intact. Medium- and long-term trends on the major coins are still Up, so this is a pullback inside an uptrend, not a reversal yet. BTC is holding up better than the altcoins, which is typical when risk appetite drops. What to watch: - Macro data is driving price now, not coin-specific news. Expect more volatility. - High-beta altcoins tend to fall further than BTC in a risk-off move. Check your exposure. - Key support levels matter more than usual this week. A daily close below support is a different signal from an intraday wick. - The Fed meeting on October 27–28 and Fed speakers before then. Use the altFINS Screener to find coins whose short-term trend is still Up during this dip. They are often the first to rebound. Stay disciplined. Size positions for higher volatility and set your stop losses in advance.

avatar

Day 366 since Bitcoin's peak. In the last three cycles, the bottom came 363 to 406 days after the top, after a 78-87% drop. This cycle broke the pattern. 🧵 https://t.co/v91cGdCexZ

avatar

I watched ethereum:0x4a220e6096b25eadb88358cb44068a3248254675 come up on our breakout screener before the +45% move. This video shows exactly how to find those setups.

avatar

JPMorgan's 5 Fed scenarios, and what they mean for the S&P 500: • No hike → -1.25% to -1.75% • 25bps, no guidance (base case) → +0.25% to +0.75% • 25bps, removes 2025 cuts → +0.50% to +1% • 25bps, higher R-star → -0.25% to -1% • 25bps, "crush inflation" → -1% to -2% Most likely: 25bp hike + no guidance.

avatar

ethereum:native - what a massive 18% move ...broken above 200 SMA, sign of Uptrend. But near-term, it's def getting overbought (RSI > 83!) It'll pull back to $2,000 - $2,100, test that breakout level ...IMHO https://t.co/pZ1MZD2ONy

avatar

SpaceX at ~$1.58T: down 50% but still pricing perfection? I pulled the numbers on where SPCX trades versus the hyperscalers, and the gap is striking. Using ~$72.4B consensus 2027 revenue, SpaceX sits at roughly 22× forward sales. For context: → @nvidia : ~8.9× → @Microsoft : ~8.2× → Alphabet Inc.: ~4.3× → @Meta : ~4.2× → @amazon : ~2.5× That's ~2.5× the richest hyperscaler and 5–9× the rest. And it's already come down, from ~51× on 2026 base-case sales. The multiple is compressing fast, due to high revenue growth but also stock price decline. So is it time to load up on SPCX? The bull case is real: ~85% revenue growth (26→27E), matched only by Nvidia Optionality across Starlink, launch, and the newly folded-in AI segment Scarcity: <5% float since IPO keeps supply artificially tight The catch: It's the only loss-maker in the group, roughly –$9.4B TTM, –$19.8B free cash flow At 22×, there's almost no margin for error on capex or IPO lockup supply On earnings (not sales), the gap to profitable peers is far wider It's going to burn through its current cash balance ~$90B within 12-18 months...will need to raise more $$, which means more dilution Is 22× forward sales justified for a pre-profit business, or is this priced for flawless execution? $SPCX #STOCKS #SPACEX @AltfinsA

avatar

tron:native price is in an Uptrend. It got very overbought (RSI > 80) and rejected around $0.37 resistance. We would be buyers at $0.32 support for another swing trade entry with +10% potential upside to $0.35 (PT1) or $0.37 (PT2). Stop Loss $0.30. https://t.co/GnA3paF1IJ

avatar

A lot of headlines today are using the word “crash,” but I think some perspective is needed. Bitcoin moving from ~$65K to below $63K is not a crash, it’s normal market volatility. Crypto traders have seen much larger moves many times before. The bigger story is the AI and semiconductor selloff. NVIDIA, Micron Technology, and other chip stocks had an incredible run, and when a sector moves too far too fast, corrections are healthy. China’s semiconductor developments are worth watching, but they won’t change the global chip industry overnight. The main short-term catalyst is the Fed meeting. I don’t expect a surprise rate hike, that would be a very aggressive move from Chair Kevin Warsh. The market is also waiting for Big Tech earnings, which will give more clues about AI spending. For traders, this is a reminder: markets move in cycles. Strong trends create opportunities, but they also create corrections. Focus on the data, levels, and risk management, not the noise. #crypto #cryptomarket #stocks #fed #AI #semiconductor

avatar

$4.7 quadrillion That's the value of securities the DTCC settled last year, the plumbing underneath nearly every US stock and bond trade. Yesterday, it started running some of those trades on a blockchain. In production. Not a sandbox, not a whitepaper. Live tokenized equities, ETFs and Treasuries, settled by the same institution that custodies over $114 trillion in assets. 30+ firms showed up for day one: → J.P. Morgan tokenized its Invesco QQQ holdings and posted them as collateral to meet a CME margin call → @BlackRock , Vanguard, Goldman Sachs, @Nasdaq , NYSE, Citadel, @circle and @chainlink all in the room → SPY, Microsoft and US Treasuries tokenized on the spot Why this is bigger than another "bank explores blockchain" headline: Every prior tokenization effort had to build a bridge to Wall Street's settlement layer. This is the settlement layer. And these aren't wrappers tracking a price. A DTCC token is a digital twin of the real security, same ownership, dividends and voting rights, convertible back to traditional form anytime. The market has been waiting for exactly this rail. Tradable on-chain RWAs (ex-stablecoins) just tripled in a year to ~$33B. McKinsey projects $2–4T by 2030. Full service goes live in October. Tokenization just stopped being a pilot story. 👇 Real question: does owning the rails make the DTCC the biggest RWA player in the world overnight, or does it make everyone else a tenant? #Tokenization #RWA #DTCC #DigitalAssets #CapitalMarkets

avatar

The annual inflation rate in the US fell to 3.5% in June 2026, the first decline in five months, compared to 4.2% in May and below forecasts of 3.8% That's a positive for risk assets like crypto. It increases the chances of FED rate cuts in 2026, or at least removes the risk of FED rate hikes. #CPI #Inflation #crypto