This is exactly where prediction markets show their real world use case! On Airbnb you can now pay $14.84 and get $114.67 for every day it rains during your stay. Rain is checked automatically. But (potentially) it can go MUUUUCH FURTHER. You could combine a whole chain of events into one position. And in the future buy insurance on that chain. For example: protests in France - you will likely want to get some cash back if during your stay some looting festival starts.
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