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ShevY

Following0Followers (X)1.99KPosts103Likes427
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This is exactly where prediction markets show their real world use case! On Airbnb you can now pay $14.84 and get $114.67 for every day it rains during your stay. Rain is checked automatically. But (potentially) it can go MUUUUCH FURTHER. You could combine a whole chain of events into one position. And in the future buy insurance on that chain. For example: protests in France - you will likely want to get some cash back if during your stay some looting festival starts.

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Building an article for small crypto creators. One insight early: Topic matters more than anything else I checked • prediction markets → 684 median views • perps → 372 • BTC/ETH/macro → 175 Which is really interesting. As by choosing the main topic for your account - you pre-set your views’ potential. Full article tomorrow, rly useful if you are a 1-3k KOL on X.

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$hype at 96 after ice said it plans to bring hyperliquid perps to the us but go back 2020 → first onchain perp goes live, dydx in april 2022 → $0.4b oi 2023 → hyperliquid launches, with no vc money 2024 → hype airdrop, 31% of supply to users. perp dexs at $2.3b oi 2025 → $8.1b today → $13.9b, hyperliquid is 57% of it 32x since end of 2022 we are still early in perpdex addoption

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lula at 20c was the cheapest hedge in brazil this weekend $10K long $EWZ from friday is -27% on the perps this morning ~$675 of lula yes at 20c would have covered the whole loss

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if you want the best output from AI, you have to switch tools every 23 days at least statistically the #1 model on lmarena changed hands 16 times since jan 2025. half of those runs lasted 23 days or less i went chatgpt, claude, gemini, back to claude, now Grok Bot. in the AI era even the market leaders can't hold the top spot. users keep moving from one model to the next, and so should you

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Same Hyperliquid trade, up to 3x cheaper depending on where you click: • Direct on Hyperliquid: $4.50 per $10k (taker) • Phantom: ~$9.86 • MetaMask / Trust Wallet: $14.50 • Charged on open and on close Stake 10+ $HYPE and the base fee drops another 5%. Imo: if you trade often, the route matters more than the entry.

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pre-tge points programs are the best fake growth money can buy: Scraped some date and took perp-dexes as a category: - aster went from ~34% share of perp dex volume at its airdrop to ~9% now - lighter peaked ~28% before $LIT, sits at ~8% after - paradex OI $542M at token launch → $10M today, -98% points farm volume, not users so when a pre-tge protocol shows you its growth chart - mentally cut 70-90% and that's probably the real number

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$2.2B stolen in 2026. and the hack isn't even the worst part (if a hacked startup survived): for finance apps - 82% say they'll delete the app after a security incident and only 2% come back within a month. so even if a startup returns every dollar, from that day it's growing against the headwind.

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If you lost money in crypto - 95% it's gone forever while with a credit card - 61% chance to get it back: 4.6K scammed Americans asked - how many got money back: • Credit card - 61% • Debit card - 45% • P2P apps (Zelle, Venmo) - 15% • Crypto - 5% In crypto anyone can create hundreds of wallets in minutes. (surprise-surprise) Scammers too. So tracking where your money went is way harder than in tradfi, and nobody can reverse it. Now - if you store everything on cold wallet you are not save too 🤦‍♂️

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gmgn > pump > fomo? Scrolling my feed, it looks like there’s only 1 PvP right now: Pump vs Fomo. Meanwhile, GMGN almost overtook Pump by revenue this month - finishing at $37.66M vs Pump’s $38.19M Another exciting part: Fomo didn't lose that PvP at all. It’s gaining huge momentum and market share, while Pump is losing significant share (65.5% down to 31.7%), even despite keeping relatively stable monthly revenue. -- From my inner circle: traders actively trading last cycle still choose GMGN over Fomo and Pump, while keeping the Fomo feed open for signals. Complex ("Pro") - UI/UX is still in demand?