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We are a few days ahead of a macropolitical pivot point where like said, I’m still expecting the Republicans to lose power in the second half of Trump mandate, in simple words here are the scenarios. If the Republicans win everything again, it will be full of uncertainty, as it has been until now, with the market remaining neutral to bullish. If power is shared, with half going to the Republicans and half to the Democrats, Trump won’t have as much power, and uncertainty will ease over the coming two years after the first three to six months, with a neutral to bullish market impact. If the Democrats win both the House of Representatives and the Senate, Trump might get impeached later on, and the market impact will be bearish. The scenario I lean towards is the second one, not too bad but not too good either. Its impact will only be felt after the next three to six months, and in the meantime the pressure for deals will continue. Remember, the market structure right now remains neutral to bullish for both Bitcoin and SPX500. So I’m still expecting a bounce after the midterms, followed by a larger correction later on if Trump decides to attack and put pressure on once again. Meanwhile, the Fed will hike interest rates before flipping towards cuts in 2027. For Bitcoin and crypto as a whole, I still see pullbacks as buying opportunities. The trend has been clear since earlier this year, when Bitcoin falls altcoins stay largely unaffected and hold up better. That is positive and can lead to a sustainable run for altcoins in 2027 towards Aug/Sept. For ETH, the levels I was watching are simple above 3,000 take profits and look for shorts, and under 2,000 another lifetime opportunity to buy meanwhile it puts a macro double bottom and swing longs for a great trade. For SPX under 6,800 towards 6,500 remains my macro interes area to put in another macro higher low before sending it back and strong most of 2027.

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