52 days that’s how long a near-term quantum computer would need, on average, to crack a single Bitcoin key CEO Cadillion of @quipnetwork walked through the math: 26 days of running the machine for one shot at the private key, roughly 50/50 odds it works so no, quantum doesn’t drain every wallet overnight it’s slow, and it goes one key at a time. which means the first targets are probably the biggest holders what I found most interesting is his last point: that assumes crypto is the first target at all state actors, or groups going after traditional rails like ACH, are potentially in the picture too this is a scenario, not a prediction. no known quantum computer can do this today but a public key that’s exposed can be recorded now and attacked later so the question isn’t whether it’s 52 days or 5. it’s whether you prepared before it became a headline @quipnetwork