I like the conviction, but we need to be wary of terminology and the ONE thing that the binary thinking polarised camps on CT find most difficult to comprehend... that more than one idea can be true at the same time. eg: from a 4 year cycle standpoint, everything is fine. it never needed to be October, nor 4 years for that matter (everything has happened within the timing windows, save for no FTX black swan so far this time), and any self-respecting cycle analyst knows the 4 year cycle likely exists within a larger cycle, perhaps 20 or 24 years, which means that the 4 year cycle eventually left translates to reveal the longer cycle. If anyone wants to explore this with an open mind, just have a look at the gradual leftward shift of the cycle tops and bottoms so far, particularly recently. It should be no surprise what's coming. Currently, I'd put better than even odds on the next cycle being the one that left translates, which could produce a dramatic rise to an early top in 18-24 months. Which matches up with all the charts posted by the mid cycle dip/supercycle bros (who I think are reading what is probably going to happen correctly but are hell bent on inventing a new brand name for whatever they think they are seeing). So you're right, it's not news, nor is it really added value. But it is likely, whatever people want to call it. The bit people seem to have trouble understanding is it also existed in the 4 year cycle theory. We've been waiting to be able to measure it - if and when it happens, knowing that it ushers in a new paradigm with the new forces we've seen introduced the last 4 years likely overwhelming the old cycle mechanics, even if it is still running behind the scenes, until we just can't see it on the chart anymore.