The Strong 12 Months After U.S. Midterms: Could Bitcoin Benefit? via @cryptoquant_com Since 1950, the S&P 500 has risen in all 19 twelve-month periods following U.S. midterm elections, averaging 15.4%. The third presidential year has also historically been the strongest. Reduced political uncertainty may support risk-taking, but these patterns do not prove causation. Bitcoin gained 24.5%, 44.9% and 92.3% in the twelve months after the 2014, 2018 and 2022 midterms. Yet it fell 45.5% in the first month after the 2018 election. Three observations cannot establish a reliable rule. CryptoQuant's chart shows that price and active addresses can diverge. Addresses are not individual buyers and do not directly measure ETF demand. Interest rates and regulation remain critical. The U.S. 10-year yield was 5.28% on October 2, while a September procedural vote on the CLARITY Act failed. Clear election results do not automatically ease financial conditions or resolve regulatory uncertainty. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $241.1 million in net inflows from September 28 to October 2. After the election, watch whether yields stabilize, buying persists and regulation advances. Political relief could help BTC, but sustained gains still require supportive market conditions. History offers context, not a guarantee. https://t.co/yHybMqLLqs?