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To be honest, I don’t understand why so few are paying attention to this: All historical data points to the same time window—and it’s closer than most realize. While 90 percent are just complaining about how bad this bear market is, I took this week to seriously ask the question and analyze every piece of data I could find. The result even surprised me—so much of it converges on the same outcome! When overlaying the current cycle onto the last three, the bottom always occurred 2 to 2.5 years after the halving. This time, that would be September through late October. A second method, using 11 cycle turning points (all of which have historically hit their target windows): a bottom between November 2026 and January 2027. A third indicator, unrelated to the halving, marked previous bottoms in January 2015, December 2018, and November 2022. Its next zone: end of 2026. Three completely different methods. One window: Q4. And the craziest part? It’s almost eerie how precisely these patterns have held up for years. Yet everyone is only looking at today’s price. My assessment: 65 to 70 percent of this bear market is already behind us. The worst is essentially over. Will it start next month? No. But anyone who waits until it’s in the headlines was never early.

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