$ARB Risk-to-Reward (R:R) Breakdown

Taking a mid-range entry of 0.0855, your metrics look like this:

Risk (Entry to SL): ~0.0070 (~8.19%)

TP1 (0.0817): ~0.0038 gain → 1:0.54 R:R (Great for taking partials or locking in stops to clear risk)

TP2 (0.0800): ~0.0055 gain → 1:0.78 R:R

TP3 (0.0775): ~0.0080 gain → 1:1.14 R:R

Structural Notes for Execution

The "Sweep" Confirmation: Since you mentioned liquidity building above recent highs, watch the lower timeframes (e.g., 15m or 1h) inside your entry zone ($0.0842 – 0.0868). Look for a sharp wick upwards that immediately closes back inside the range—this confirms a SFP (Swing Failure Pattern) or a standard stop-hunt before you commit heavy size.

Stop-Loss Room: Your SL at 0.0925 gives the position decent breathing room above the immediate entry zone, protecting you from premature invalidation if the market experiences a highly volatile squeeze before rolling over.

Invalidation Point: If the price gains acceptance (multiple 4H or Daily candles closing firmly above 0.0880), the bearish thesis weakens significantly, as that indicates buyers are absorbing the overhead supply instead of rejecting it.

Manage your leverage carefully relative to that ~8% structural stop distance, and look to trailing stops once TP1 or TP2 are secured to keep it a stress-free trade. Good luck with the rotation play!

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