$XRP Setup | SHORT

XRP has lost its footing after a clean breakdown below the $1.38 support zone. The 1-hour chart shows price getting rejected at the EMAs, and momentum is clearly bearish. I am watching for a retest of broken support before considering continuation.

Trade Plan

Direction: Short

Entry Zone: $1.3350 – $1.3450

Stop Loss: $1.3780

TP1: $1.3180

TP2: $1.2900

TP3: $1.2500

Why This Makes Sense

• XRP closed below the critical $1.35–$1.38 support band, flipping this area into resistance. The 50-EMA at $1.40 and 100-EMA near $1.34 are now overhead caps, reinforcing the bearish structure.

• The daily RSI has dropped to around 40, showing weak momentum without yet signaling an oversold bounce. MACD remains below the zero line with no bullish crossover in sight.

• A long-to-short ratio of 2.32 means leveraged longs heavily outnumber shorts. If $1.32 fails, forced liquidations could accelerate the drop toward $1.28 and potentially $1.25.

• Despite institutional news like Standard Chartered's RLUSD custody deal, ETF inflows have slowed to roughly $12 million this month—about 75% lower than September.

Risk Note

This is a momentum short in a market that can squeeze hard on any headline. The upcoming XRPL protocol upgrade on October 23 and Ripple's Swell conference on October 27–29 are potential catalysts that could trigger a sharp reversal. Keep position size small, respect the stop loss, and do not chase entries far below $1.34.

What do you think?

Would you take this setup, or wait for a confirmed retest of $1.38 before entering?

#MooDCirCuiT

$XRP

$DUSK Setup | LONG

DUSK is pushing hard today, up over 15% and reclaiming the $0.097 area after a clean bounce from the $0.0880 floor. Price is holding above all key EMAs on the 1H chart, and the breakout from that tight consolidation looks real, not just a wick. Volume is confirming the move, and the structure has shifted from choppy to clearly bullish.

Trade Plan

Direction: Long

Entry Zone: $0.0965 – $0.0980

Stop Loss: $0.0880

TP1: $0.1025

TP2: $0.1080

TP3: $0.1150

Why This Makes Sense

• Price broke above the $0.095–$0.098 neckline resistance that has capped every rally since early October, flipping it into support.

• The 1H EMA structure is stacked bullishly — price is holding above the 7, 25, and 99 EMAs, with the 25 EMA rising sharply.

• Buyers are clearly in control, with recent activity showing nearly 99% buy pressure and a strong social sentiment reading of +8.23%.

• Fundamental catalysts are lining up: Dusk Domains mainnet launches October 18, routing protocol revenue directly into DUSK liquidity, and the team just shipped 10 core cryptography upgrades

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$DUSK

$JCT Setup | LONG

The 1H chart has shifted structure. We are seeing a classic rounded bottom with higher lows grinding up from 0.001704. The price is now consolidating right below the 0.00200 resistance. Momentum is clearly with the buyers on this timeframe.

Trade Plan

Direction: Long

Entry Zone: 0.001920 – 0.001945 (Retest of the yellow EMA)

Stop Loss: 0.001870 (Below the recent higher low and pink EMA)

TP1: 0.001986 (Immediate resistance)

TP2: 0.002050 (Breakout extension)

TP3: 0.002150 (Macro lower high)

Why This Makes Sense

• The chart shows a textbook sequence of higher lows. Buyers are stepping in earlier each time.

• The yellow EMA has crossed above the pink EMA and is acting as dynamic support. Price is holding above both.

• Volume is steady on the green candles, showing real accumulation, not a fakeout pump.

• The dip to 0.001704 was the liquidity flush. The slow grind up is the recovery phase.

Risk Note

The macro 4H trend is still technically down, so this is a counter-trend scalp. Do not marry this long. If price loses the pink EMA (around 0.001880), the bullish thesis is dead. Take profits at TP1 and move your stop to break-even.

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$JCT

$APT Setup | LONG

Aptos just finished its four-year token unlock. Monthly emissions dropped around 60%. Price is holding near $0.83 after a strong four-week run, but on-chain stablecoin liquidity is down 17.5%. That divergence tells me to keep size small and wait for confirmation.

Trade Plan

Direction: Long

Entry Zone: 0.8280 – 0.8350

Stop Loss: 0.8150

TP1: 0.8650

TP2: 0.8950

TP3: 0.9400

Why This Makes Sense

• The unlock overhang is gone. Monthly APT emissions fell from ~11.3M to ~4.5M tokens, removing a persistent supply pressure that kept rallies capped.

• Price is defending the $0.82–$0.83 zone. This area acted as support after the recent dip, and the 24h low of $0.7880 held cleanly.

• Momentum is cooling but not broken. RSI on the 4H sits near 60 after peaking above 70, which is typical mid-trend behavior rather than exhaustion.

• The first real resistance sits around $0.94–$0.96. If buyers reclaim that band, the path toward $1.00 opens up.

I'm watching whether stablecoin liquidity stabilizes while price holds above $0.83. If it keeps bleeding, this rally looks supply-driven, not demand-driven. That's why I prefer confirmation over catching the exact bottom.

Risk Note

The main risk here is a liquidity drain. If stablecoins on Aptos keep falling, the ecosystem loses dry powder and the token can drift lower even without a fresh catalyst. Keep your position size modest. A close below $0.82 invalidates the setup, and I'd step aside rather than average down.

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$APT

$APT Setup | LONG

APT pulled back hard today after tagging the 0.91-0.96 zone. Price is sitting near 0.83 after an 8% drop, still holding above the recent higher-low structure. Volume stayed elevated on the sell-off.

Trade Plan

Direction: Long

Entry Zone: 0.820 – 0.835

Stop Loss: 0.798

TP1: 0.870

TP2: 0.910

TP3: 0.955

Why This Makes Sense

• Price is testing the 0.82 support zone that previously acted as a base during the recent rally

• RSI sits in neutral territory around 55-56, no extreme oversold or overbought

• Short-term EMAs (20/50) remain supportive underneath while the broader monthly trend is still higher

• Recent catalysts (encrypted mempool live, MonoMove upgrade path, tokenomics tightening) keep the fundamental backdrop constructive on dips

Risk Note

This is a bounce play inside a volatile L1. Keep position size small and respect the stop — a clean break under 0.80 opens the door to the next support near 0.73. No setup is guaranteed.

What do you think?

Would you take this setup, or wait for confirmation?

$APT

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