🚨 JUST IN: 🇺🇸 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims 📊 Actual: 215K ✅ 📈 Expected: 218K 📌 Previous: 217K The U.S. labor market remains resilient. 👀 All eyes now shift to Fed's John Williams speech. #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Fed #JoblessClaims #BreakingNews

🚨 🇺🇸 OVERNIGHT FUNDING FLASHES LIQUIDITY SIGNAL AS SOFR SITS BELOW FED FUNDS SOFR fixed at 3.58% on July 8, while effective fed funds held at 3.63%, leaving secured repo money about 5 bps cheaper than bank-to-bank cash. The important part is not panic. It shows strong demand for Treasury-backed funding and heavy cash moving through the safest plumbing in markets. When this pipe shifts, bond desks listen first. Short-term Treasuries and cash funds stay the cleanest trade. Lower repo pressure supports bills, while any sudden SOFR jump would hit risk assets fast.

China has announced its 15th Five-Year Plan. Goals include: ✅ Maintaining high levels of new urban employment ✅ Re-employment of 25 million people ✅ Unemployment rate below 5.5% If economic stimulus measures continue, they could provide a tailwind for risk assets. Stay tuned for further China-related news.

Good morning. My three takeaways from China’s latest inflation data: Annual PPI inflation accelerated to 4.1% in June, the highest in four years and up from 3.9% in May (see FT chart below). With annual CPI softening to 1.0% (down from 1.2%), the gap between wholesale costs and consumer prices widened. On a sequential basis, monthly PPI actually contracted by 0.3% in June, largely reflecting the sharp pullback in international oil prices. #economy #china #inflation #markets @FT

Trader’s Guide: July 9, 2026 Economic Calendar Tomorrow’s schedule is packed with potential market movers: Highlights to Watch ECB Monetary Policy Accounts (4:30 AM) — Fresh clues on ECB rate path. Mexico Inflation (5:00 AM) — YoY expected at 3.5%; hotter print could pressure EM assets. US Initial Jobless Claims (5:30 AM) — Labor market health check (consensus 220K). US Existing Home Sales (7:00 AM) — June headline 4.2M expected; strong MoM rebound could support rate-cut hopes. Fed Speeches — Williams (6 AM) + Logan (10:30 AM) — Any dovish hints on cuts will be closely parsed. What Traders Should Focus On: Housing data + Fed commentary = direct impact on bond yields and USD. Labor claims as a real-time employment gauge. Overall tone could shift September rate-cut probabilities. Expect volatility around US data releases. Position accordingly and watch cross-asset reactions (yields, dollar, equities). Stay sharp — data + central bank speak = trading opportunity! #EconomicCalendar #FedSpeeches #HousingData #Trading

July 8, 2026 Economic Data Recap Key releases today delivered a mixed global picture: United States MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate: 6.58% (slight rise) EIA Crude Oil Stocks: +2.998M (vs consensus -2.4M) → bigger-than-expected build EIA Gasoline Stocks: -1.904M (draw) FOMC Minutes released at 11 AM — markets parsing for clues on rate path China CPI YoY (Jun): +1.2% (below 1.3% consensus) CPI MoM: -0.1% PPI YoY: +3.9% (above expectations) Europe Germany Trade Balance (May): €14.5B (below €16B forecast) Germany Exports MoM: +0.9% UK RICS House Price Balance: -33% (weaker than expected) Bottom Line: Softer Chinese inflation readings add to growth concerns, while the surprise U.S. oil inventory build could pressure energy prices. FOMC Minutes were the highlight — any dovish hints could support rate-cut expectations. Overall, data leans slightly cautious for risk assets. How do you see these numbers impacting markets tomorrow? #EconomicCalendar #FOMC #ChinaData #Oil #Inflation

What’s happening in the markets? Let me summarize the picture for you. The Fed’s meeting minutes were the star of the session, and afterward, we saw markets shift direction. Officials confirmed that inflation remains a concern, with differing views on future rate cuts—but for now, the decision is clear: rates will remain unchanged. Gold has regained its shine, surpassing $4,100 per ounce, even as tensions between the U.S. and Iran persist, as investors once again turned to safe-haven assets. In contrast, the oil market has cooled slightly, as concerns have eased compared to recent days, with attention increasingly shifting toward gold. 📅 Today, all eyes are on: • U.S. initial jobless claims. • Existing home sales. These data points could move the dollar, gold, and even cryptocurrencies—so keep a close eye on the markets today.

Restrictive global monetary policy expectations are opening the Thursday session with extreme friction. When macro correlations spike, defining your exact risk matters most. Keep a very close eye on our active index-tracking target contracts on the dashboard today.