BTC cycle bottom analysis

Analysts identify potential BTC bear-market bottom at $43,130 using MVRV bands, with historical data showing similar patterns in 2015, 2018, and 2022.

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$BTC is continuing its slow grind higher, and my previous long has already reached full take profit. Right now, the only setup that interests me is if Bitcoin drops back into the range. In that case, I'd anticipate a move toward the range lows and would consider looking for a short opportunity there. Until then, I'm staying patient on $BTC and focusing on a few clean altcoin setups instead.

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The upward momentum around the 12-hour basis is showing signs of recovery, so the current situation continues where it is unable to turn downward I’ll post the chart later #btc

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$TAO — I think this 15-month accumulation phase is finally coming to an end. A pretty clean Wyckoff schematic playing out on the 1D. Multiple sweeps of range lows, each one trapping more sellers, with the most recent spring already reclaimed strongly. Many will conveniently ignore the dynamics of this chart simply because they don't like the macro picture, or because "BTC bottom is not in yet." Many missed $HYPE for the exact same reasons. They'll miss $TAO too. I think $220-240 region is a good zone build a long if a retest is given in the coming days. #TAOUSDT

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🚨 Megaeth $Mega about to make a rally?? >>> Looking at the charts, mega has formed a double bottom having being oversold for weeks.. >>> price is now up 22% in the last 24hours and now at 660m fdv from lows of 480m fdv >>> I expect more continuation to the regions of 800m fdv if bitcoin holds steady and doesn't dump bad in the new week... One to look out for..... 👀

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It’s been over 8 months since the October 2025 top, and $TOTAL still hasn’t broken down on the monthly SuperTrend, very unusual compared to earlier cycles. The same goes for TOTAL2 and 3. Bears are running out of time for real. For $BTC, a June close above 66K would also avoid a bearish flip.

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Bitcoin is back at the bottom of the range. Three weeks ago I said this range would send price straight to the floor. That is exactly where we are now. Every touch of the top near $80,000 has ended the same way. A drop to the bottom near $60,000. The floor is the last line holding. I would not assume it holds forever.

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Bitcoin has been squeezed between two lines since early June. The top keeps capping rallies near $64,600. The bottom keeps catching dips off $59,100. They meet around the 17th. Same day the market hears from Washington. Price never stays in the triangle that long. Position accordingly.

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$BTC plan LTF sequence played out almost exactly as planned. > Anyone following the setup should have hit full TP +4.3R (I closed 64.2 already) > MRVAH reclaimed & fundamental looking constructive > larger sequence activated with target levels above 68k -> will play the hedge long marked on the chart if market allows Above next area of interest remains 65.5k: > Range VAL > Largest nearby liquidity cluster cleared > approaching 4h OB > Confluence with our projected correction level -> will only enter a short if order flow confirms, mid term structure remains bullish for now

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It's a matter of time until the markets are waking up to see whether or not #Bitcoin breaks back in the range. Very likely it will, and it should be dragging the rest of the markets along with it. For sure, the markets can expect more downside and the trend is clearly downwards, however, as there's likely a lot of news going to come in and a technical breakout above $64,000-65,000 should mean that we're basically rejecting further downside, means that we're in a stronger period of time. We've seen some momentum already in the past month signaling that altcoins are rejecting further downside, and I assume that that liquidity will continue to poor in the markets with even better conditions on the horizon. Don't bet on a certain outcome of $30,000 to come when we're already at a bargain.