We are exiting the "AI Hype" era and entering the "AI Shakeout" era. Watch $AMZN guidance tonight. If they don't show a clear path to AI profitability, the tech sector's "valuation floor" will drop another 10%. The play: Stay heavy on cash, watch the $68k level on $BTC, and stop buying the dip until the Capex panic bottoms out. Are you catching the falling knife or waiting for the floor? Let’s discuss below. 👇 #Trading #AI #Stocks #Crypto2026

Tesla just plunged after earnings—expected the worst, but still a shock. Looks like the EV momentum is cracking under pressure. Apple staff layoffs hit the stock hard—timing's terrible for the iPhone giant. Retail sales aren’t helping either. Amazon slides despite revenue soar—investors eyeing slowing growth and what’s next. Retail binge may be cooling. Meta's latest dip warns of ad spend slowdown—hints at tougher times ahead for digital giants. Gold rises as stocks drop—safe haven suddenly in vogue amid turbulence. Oil spikes fueled by supply worries—OPEC action tightening the screws again. Bitcoin crawled back above 30K—crypto markets are alive and kicking despite the chaos.

OVER $5T WIPED OUT CASUALLY IN 24 HOURS ⚠️ Gold: −5.5% (~$1.9T wiped) Silver: −19% (~$980B gone) S&P 500: −0.95% (~$580B erased) Nasdaq: −2.5% (~$1T lost) Crypto: −6.7% (~$180B gone) And all these happened without any major news! Totally normal, right? 🤨

☀️ Morning Notes | Thursday – February 5, 2026 | Global Agenda 🏛️ MAIN POLITICAL DEVELOPMENT OF THE DAY 1) U.S.-China line Contact occurred between Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi. Trade topics and regional security agendas stood out in the meeting. 2) U.S.-Iran line The location/format topic of the ongoing talks between the U.S. and Iran remained on the agenda. While the U.S. side wants to expand the scope of the talks, the Iranian side emphasizes that the core of the discussions should remain on the nuclear topic. 3) U.S. domestic topic (institutional calendar) Some publications from the federal statistics agency were moved outside the calendar. The JOLTS release was postponed and does not appear in the February 5 calendar. 📅 UPDATED ECONOMIC CALENDAR – FEBRUARY 5, 2026 (THURSDAY) | EET 🇬🇧 United Kingdom 15:00 – BoE Interest Rate Decision 🇪🇺 Eurozone 16:15 – ECB Interest Rate Decision 🇺🇸 United States 16:30 – Weekly Jobless Claims 16:30 – Continuing Jobless Claims 16:30 – 4-Week Average Claims 18:30 – Natural Gas Inventories 🎯 MAIN THEME OF THE DAY The agenda features major central banks + U.S. labor weekly flow; on the political side, the U.S. has two foreign policy lines (China and Iran) on the table at the same time. #bitcoin #gold #bist100

🔥 Software Crash Hits Private Equity Stocks Expert Warns: "The bedbugs of this credit cycle are about to emerge" On Tuesday, private equity giants sharply declined in value. The reason? A deep sell-off in software stocks is now beginning to spread into the financial system. 📉 Sharp Declines in Stocks Apollo ( $APO): -4.8% Blackstone ( $BX): -5.2% $KKR: -9.7% Ares Management ( $ARES): -10.3% Software ETF ( $IGV): At its lowest level since April 2025 💥 "Software-Annihilation" Period Andreas Steno Larsen, CEO of Steno Research, says the software sector has long been an inflated bubble: "Software was the golden child of private equity and private credit markets. Now it's time for reckoning." 🧐 Main Problem: Software companies were seen as "unbreakable moats" Productive AI is directly threatening these business models Corporate software spending is slowing down Valuations have started to collapse ⚠️ The Real Danger: Private Credit Software accounted for 25% of private equity acquisitions in recent years These companies were largely financed through private credit Now, as profits and valuations fall, credit portfolios are at risk Larsen's warning is clear: "Lenders have serious 'bags' on their balance sheets. The bedbugs of this credit cycle will likely emerge here." ("Bedbug" = hidden problems in the system that surface during a crisis) 🧠 Striking Analogy According to Larsen, today: Apollo stock is almost the same trade as Bitcoin Both are playing on a "shadow money system" and abundant liquidity In other words: When liquidity is present, they soar When liquidity is withdrawn, they fall sharply with high beta 🧾 Overall Assessment What does this mean? The software crash is not limited to technology There is a risk of spreading to private equity and private credit markets One of the most severe market rotations is happening in 2026: ❌ Software / growth ✅ Energy / real assets / cash flow 📌 Summary: As the software bubble bursts, serious problems may surface in the private credit world, which financed this bubble. The real crisis may not yet be fully visible. Source: finviz

Asia open (Feb 4). $NKY +2.6% $TOPIX +2.1% $HSI -2.2% $BTC $76k Headlines: Japan rips on rebound bid, US data tailwind. Hong Kong dumps again, tech/property under pressure.​ Asia split: Japan bucks broader risk‑off tone.

🚀 Palantir Soars! Is it the 'Messi of AI' or Overvalued? 🤔 Palantir just reported a STELLAR quarter with a sharp sales jump, and shares surged almost 11% pre-bell! 📈 CEO Alex Karp defended the company's surveillance technology, citing safeguards against government overreach. What are your thoughts on the balance between powerful AI and ethical concerns? 👇 Analysts are raving! Wedbush crowned Palantir the "Messi of AI" ⚽🤖, anticipating a robust year driven by rapid AI platform adoption and surging U.S. commercial demand. BofA is equally bullish, projecting an astounding "Rule of 40" score over 120% by 2026! D.A. Davidson also declared, "Palantir remains well positioned to drive enterprise AI adoption... We continue to believe Palantir is the best story in all of software." ✨ However, Mizuho, while acknowledging the "stellar" quarter, warns that the stock's valuation remains "stretched" after its recent rally. Is this growth sustainable, or is the market getting ahead of itself? 📉#Palantir #AI #StockMarket #TechNews #Investment #PLTR #BigData #MessiOfAI #Earnings Source: Reuters

The software market is already in a bearish trend, while hardware is still stuck in a range. The S&P 500 has been flat for about three months, as AI continues to take a larger and larger share of the index. NVIDIA earnings are coming up - we’re waiting to see how that plays out. Bitcoin is already in a correction, software companies are also correcting, and everything is being held up only by AI.