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TrendDelta

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Don't go all in at the 200-day. $QQQ is at $684. The 200-day is at $680. $QQQ hasn't touched it since April. Every first touch after 100+ days above it since 2004: - 14 times - 1 month later: higher 8 of 14 - 1 year later: higher 12 of 13 - Typical low in the next year: 8.6% under the touch - Worst: 28.1% under, in 2022 Buy some at $661. Keep cash for what's under it. Bookmark this.

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The AI trade is cracking. October was the Nasdaq 100's worst month since March 2025. On Friday, it fell -3.46%, its worst day since June 5th, and closed -9.09% below its October 6th record. Intraday, it traded at 28,093, BELOW the 28,102 line that marks a 10% correction. On the same day, energy stocks closed at a record high. Now Apple, Palantir and AMD report, America votes on Tuesday, and the jobs report lands on Friday. We call it "Proof Week." Here is what decides it. (a thread)

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🚨AI TRADE IS COLLAPSING. Nasdaq -3.5%. Tech sector -4.7%. Intel is having its worst day in 50 years (-30%). Every major name is deep red. This is what a bubble popping looks like. https://t.co/juNKbHpbIO

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$15,682 shorting $QQQ today. Both entries came well after the top was in... The money was in the pullbacks. Gapped down under yesterday's close and never traded back above it. The opening range set the box, roughly 698 to 694. Here's what the day actually did, step by step: Gap down → bounce into 30 min ORB high→ failed break above, first arrow → range low breaks → pullback into the ribbon → rolls over, second arrow → trend What I wait for on a day like this: my indicator does all this for me: -Ribbon pointing down and price trading under it -Orange candles pulling back into it with no follow through -The first red candle that closes back under the pullback low That candle is the entry Both arrows on the chart are that exact moment. One inside the range, one after the low broke. Stop goes over the pullback high, not over the high of the day Most traders chase the first red candle off the open and get stopped on the retrace Or they wait for 694 to break and sell the low of the move The range tells you where the day decides The pullback tells you WHEN sellers are back Stop trying to short the high of the day Start letting the trend come to you

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An insane rejection of that 50-day SMA on $QQQ The analog prediction was very close and accurate on that rejection. Do we bounce off this 200-day SMA or knife through? https://t.co/z6osYA2421

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$GOOGL just got the daily death cross (50 SMA crossed below 200 SMA) AVWAP support is sitting at 275.98 A huge support level that could become a potential triple bottom. With these two confluences, 271-275 is a great entry zone I'm looking at for calls or shares. https://t.co/yCduCrA1q7

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The S&P has dipped every March/April for 4 years. 2023: -9% 2024: -6% 2025: -21% 2026: -10% Every one of them got bought. Now it's chopping sideways at the highs again. Last time it did that: right before the 2025 drop. Buy in April and go away. https://t.co/cubOtBmyBQ

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$SPY weekly close below 760 after being stuck in range Last time something similar happened... It led to an -8.3% move lower before an all-time high. What do you think happens this time? https://t.co/fwR0pR6IoA

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$SPY: Nice trap for shorts before the rip. Got that buy signal before the rip, with a liquidity sweep of the lows https://t.co/pfVRzkLvvj