Midterms are tomorrow. Here's the Bitcoin pattern almost nobody talks about 👇 Every Bitcoin bear market low of the last 3 cycles came within about 10 weeks of a midterm election: 2014 midterm: $178 low, 71 days after 2018 midterm: $3,237 low, 39 days after 2022 midterm: $15,787 low, 13 days after What came next, 12 months after each low: +141.6% +121.0% +126.9% This cycle broke the pattern. The low came early, a $58.6K daily close on June 30, about 4 months before the vote. Stocks have their own version. The S&P 500 has been higher 12 months after every midterm since 1946. 20 for 20, average +14.4%. Three cycles is a small sample, and history is not a promise. But the midterm has been one of the most consistent turning points in this asset's history. No hype. No bias. Just data. 🤝🫡 bitcoin:native

Midterms tomorrow. Huge week ahead. My full plan for $BTC, Silver, Gold and the Nasdaq. Bitcoin is testing the bottom of $83K–$77K with the 21w EMA and 50w SMA at ~$76K–$75K. 1D–1W closes decide it. Full breakdown in the video. 🤝🫡 https://t.co/obbfvFuwob

🚨 I CALLED THIS BITCOIN PRICE ACTION IN MID-AUGUST Watch the clip. Back in August the roadmap was simple: Push up into the $81K–$88K range. Get rejected. Pull back and retest the moving averages going into the midterm elections. That's exactly what's playing out right now. The midterms are tomorrow and bitcoin:native is testing the bottom of the $83K–$77K zone, with the 21w EMA and 50w SMA right underneath at ~$76K–$75K. Nothing has changed. Holding $83K–$77K on 1D–1W closes keeps the higher-low structure intact. Weekly closes below $77K open $76K–$65K, which still keeps the structure intact, the same playbook as 2018–2019 and 2022–2023. 🤝🫡

bitcoin:native is playing out spot on for what this market typically does when it ends a bear market🚨 Bull market top. Bear flag lower high #1 rejected the key daily MAs. Bear flag #2 did the same. Accumulation at the Macro Golden Pocket with a 1–2 week bullish divergence. Escape velocity trend change above the key daily MAs. Now we’re in the post-breakout retest. High probability: higher low between $76K–$65K, then rally to $93.5K–$100K. That’s the higher-probability path.

$SMH versus the S&P is in a full-blown bear market on the higher timeframe. Momentum, money flow, and structure all agree. Semiconductors will likely keep underperforming the S&P and keep going lower against it. That relative bear market has at least another 4–8 months left. Countertrend rallies will show up. Chasing these names into them is still a mistake. The rotation trade is the one that keeps playing out, and it stays in play for the foreseeable future. A major bounce followed by a break of the lower-high structure inside the next 90 days would mean I'm wrong. The data does not favor that outcome. No hype. No bias. Just data.

bitcoin:native is testing the bottom of $83K–$77K, and it’s also tagging the 21-week EMA and 50-week SMA around $76K–$75K. Wicks into $76K–$75K are possible. I’ve been saying that. Weekly closes below $77K are what open $76K–$67K on a more durable basis. Hold $77K on 1D-1W closes and the structure stays intact. Lose it and $76K–$67K is next. The closes decide it.

Stocks, gold, silver and bitcoin:native all got hit in the same week. Here's where each one sits on support. Nasdaq: 28,264–28,057 first support. Friday wicked to 28,244 and closed back at 28,534. Lose it on 1D-1W closes and 27,200–26,724 is next. BTC: $83K–$77K support. Lose $77K on 1D-1W closes and $76K–$67K is next. Gold: $3,888–$3,817 is the first major zone. Lose it and $3,500–$3,400 is where I'd expect the bigger reaction. Silver: Fully broke the $55–$52 zone. Next major support is $45–$39, the weekly 200 EMA and SMA. I expect that test. Everything is at a level. The 1D-1W closes decide which ones hold. Wait for the dust to settle. No hype. No bias. Just data. 🤝🫡

$BTC is still sitting on $83K–$77K support. Hold it and the higher-low structure stays intact. Lose $77K on 1D-1W closes and $76K–$67K is next. That is where I'd expect the bigger reaction. Wait for the dust to settle. No hype. No bias. Just data. 🤝🫡 https://t.co/D5vp8oxd2L

The Nasdaq just finished one of its ugliest days of the year and the timeline is finally calling it the AI top. Here is what actually matters. Friday's low tagged 28,244, right inside my 28,264–28,057 first major support zone, and it closed back above it at 28,534. That zone is structure, the golden pocket, and the daily 200 EMA all stacked together. The 200 SMA sits right inside it. That is where a real low can form. Lose it on 1D-1W closes and 27,200–26,724 is next. Massive support. That is where I'd expect the bigger reaction. I'm not cheering for the market going down. Midterm year, Q4, weak breadth. This was telegraphed well ahead of time. Wait for the dust to settle. No hype. No bias. Just data. 🤝🫡 $QQQ $SPY

I'll be adding more bitcoin:native and ethereum:native soon. Not emotional. Not because of the recent drop. This is the same roadmap I laid out at the start of the year. The plan was simple. Once Bitcoin reached the 200-week moving average and the higher-timeframe golden pocket, start DCA-ing. As the year went on, get more aggressive with allocation sizing. Same plan. Same structure. I'll keep executing it through year-end with proper risk management and capital allocation. Discipline over emotion. Every time.