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キッカ2.0

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Morning $Bitcoin check ✅ Good morning, triggered by your trade alert. The price has once again touched the recent low and reached the SMA100. As planned, we’re gradually adding to our position. All that’s left is to watch the remaining five limit orders execute—nothing else to do 😉 bitcoin:native #Bitcoin #MarketOutlook https://t.co/O4FoVWugXS

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Morning $Bitcoin check ✅ At this moment, all assets are experiencing a synchronized decline. AI threats, security breaches, hacking, data leaks, price fluctuations— and long positions making aggressive moves aiming for a reversal. It’s not the best analogy, but as always, it’s quite well orchestrated, isn’t it? 😂 Price movements are currently unfolding within predicted ranges 😉 bitcoin:native #Bitcoin #MarketOutlook https://t.co/UQxsLLaQnk

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$Bitcoin Check ✅ A recent deep-dive analysis that’s been a bit neglected lately. Still, I’m tired of hearing “plummeted due to geopolitics and political risk.” Then again, maybe it’s time to raise our guard a bit 😄 Price briefly dipped below the expected $80,000 level, plunging to the $79,100 range before rebounding. In my view, it didn’t fall because of news— it was simply a liquidation of accumulated long positions during the low-liquidity weekend. Over $800 million in 24-hour liquidations occurred, mostly longs. The news merely served as a trigger; the real fuel was the usual leverage-driven positioning. 💸 Funds are moving quietly: • Spot ETFs: ~$640 million net outflows • Exchange inflows: ~32,380 BTC (since April) A setup favorable for selling has formed. Before shouting “bottom reached,” confirm the direction. 📊 Chart Analysis Daily Chart: • Both highs and lows are trending lower. • Last night’s drop broke the psychological barrier at $80,000. • SMA365 may temporarily act as support. • The structure also resembles an ascending flag. This kind of setup often leads to either: — a sudden, merciless rally after devouring longs’ confidence, or — a “dead-cat bounce” that leaves traders stranded and worn down by double-punch exhaustion. Weekly Chart: • Likely to close with a long upper wick bearish candle. • Currently descending toward the lower cloud boundary near SMA50. As the chart shows, SMA25, SMA50, lower cloud boundary, U.S. midterm elections, and Strategy Company’s cumulative average entry price—all converge at this critical point. That’s precisely why I’ve said I have nothing specific to do right now. 🗓 Key Upcoming Dates: 10/26 (Mon): ETF Flows & NY Session 10/28 (Wed): FOMC (Oct 29, 3:00 AM JST) 11/3 (Tue): U.S. Midterm Elections FOMC is priced in with ~90% probability of no change—still monitor closely. Pay special attention to the “nuance” around rates and December outlook. Expectations are building for an expansion post-event. ※ Personal opinion only; not investment advice. bitcoin:native #Bitcoin #MarketOutlook

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⚠️ This is my personal opinion. AI technology is advancing rapidly, and various issues arise every day. Don’t many of us—including myself—feel a strange, unfamiliar sense of unease unlike anything before? “What exactly am I anxious about?” The answer that emerged is: “Loss of trust and credibility.” In a world where voices, videos, documents, and even systems can be forged or breached, it’s becoming increasingly difficult to verify: “Is this real? Is this safe?” Markets, societies, and economies all depend on trust. In past crises of trust, we overcame them by reforming systems— but this time, the speed and scale of the damage are clearly different from anything before. The foundations of modern society may now be at greater risk. “No one knows what will happen.” That’s probably where the true source of our anxiety lies.

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Morning $Bitcoin check ✅ As expected, Bitcoin’s usual full retracement 😂 Personally, everything is proceeding as predicted, so, as I’ve said before, there’s nothing to do. bitcoin:native #Bitcoin #MarketOutlook https://t.co/2mfQO9KKUY

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Morning $Bitcoin check ✅ Accumulating. It’s following a path so predictably, it’s almost frightening— at the very least, watch for a break below $80,000, and keep an eye on $76,000 below that. But here’s the thing: the clearer the pattern becomes, the more it gets targeted—that’s just how it works. So how will you navigate this, too? The rest? You already know 😎 By the way, the weekly EMA dotted line is my predicted trajectory. bitcoin:native #Bitcoin #MarketOutlook

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Another day filled with challenges. I had been engaging in prolonged conversations with AI and began to sense something off. It seems that when AI is pushed for extended periods, information overload causes a decline in reasoning quality. This led to unnecessary delays in correcting errors stemming from misleading outputs. This very issue arose while I was developing a system designed to prevent such problems. The unease I failed to notice due to overreliance— learning from such insights, gaining knowledge and experience. In a way, AI is like a bright child. The feeling of growing alongside it is truly fascinating. #ELQARIS #Bitcoin #ビットコイン #システム開発 #AI #TradingSystem #SI #SystemIntegration

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Morning $Bitcoin Check ✅ While the situation doesn’t require much deep thinking, sometimes it’s worth reflecting anyway 😊 ✅ Macro ・ETF saw an inflow of +$176 million on 10/13, partially offsetting prior outflows. ・September CPI came in at 3.7% YoY (expected 3.6%); core CPI also exceeded forecasts. This is the last major data point before the FOMC meeting on 10/27–28, increasing concerns about further rate hikes. ・With the U.S. midterm elections (11/3) approaching, market volatility persists amid tension between policy expectations and tightening pressures. ✅ Price Action The market has remained prone to panic reactions following negative moves. It seems that this volatility is facilitating filtering and accumulation. ・Bullish View: Watch for sustained breakout above ~$84,000 and whether ETF inflows accelerate. $87,000 is the next key resistance; further analysis will be needed depending on price behavior en route. ・Bearish View: Current support at $80,000. A break below this level would draw attention to the accumulated average purchase price of $75,444 from Strategy Company. Until conditions stabilize, remain cautious—expect continued supply-demand validation within a range-bound market, especially around upcoming events. bitcoin:native #Bitcoin #MarketOutlook

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Morning $Bitcoin check ✅ I think the market is worn out from unpleasant moves. The recent series of movements also feels like the final accumulation. So far, it’s moving within predicted ranges, but the downward moves seem to be gaining strength. That’s why I’m leaving it alone for now—no need to force anything. Meanwhile, spare moments are development time 😆 https://t.co/79ZQ7o8Kw4