
Next week is a macro gauntlet. RBA, BOE, Eurozone CPI, U.S. Midterms, and NFP. All in five days. The Fed is paused, but the rest of the world isn't. This is the week the "stagflation trap" gets tested globally. • Sun Nov 1: US/Canada DST ends (Liquidity shift) • Tue Nov 3: RBA Rate Decision + US Congressional Elections • Wed Nov 4: Eurozone Flash CPI + ADP • Thu Nov 5: BOE Rate Decision + MPC Votes • Fri Nov 6: US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) + Canada Jobs Here's the nuance most headlines will skip. The sequencing is brutal. The RBA kicks it off on Tuesday, but the real fireworks are Thursday and Friday. The BOE is trapped between 3.5% CPI and a £24.5B borrowing hole - the vote split will be the tell. Then Friday's NFP is the final verdict. If Average Hourly Earnings (AHE) prints hot, the Fed's 10-2 hawkish dissent gets validated. Watch the 10Y yield at 4.75% and GBPUSD at $1.3100. The volatility premium is here. Which central bank blinks first: RBA, BOE, or the Fed?
